Friday, October 29, 2004

William Kristol: beating the Drums of War

'Soft power' overlooked

By Stephen Post, Collegian columnist
October 29, 2004

When William Kristol speaks, Washington listens. More to the point, the Bush administration listens. Kristol is the man behind the Project for the New American Century (PNAC), the neo-conservative think-tank that pushed regime change in Iraq years before 9/11. After the 1991 Gulf War, Kristol was a one-man drum and fife corps, keeping Iraq on the agenda when others had lost interest.

He kept pressing, and in 1998, PNAC sent a letter to President Clinton, urging him to unseat Saddam, and fast. If Clinton did not act, the letter read, "the safety of American troops in the region, of our friends and allies like Israel and the moderate Arab states and a significant portion of the world's supply of oil will all be put at hazard." Among the undersigned were such lights as Francis Fukuyama, as well as Donald Rumsfeld and Paul Wolfowitz (Rumsfeld's DoD counterpart in the current administration).

Kristol's magazine, the Weekly Standard, subsidized by Rupert Murdoch, published opinion piece after opinion piece harping on the Iraq issue. Doggedly, and through eight years of a democratic administration, Kristol carried the torch, and when Bush came into office in 2000, the stage was set for Saddam's take-down.

On Wednesday night, I stood face to face with William Kristol. He was in town to debate Joseph Nye, dean of Harvard's Kennedy School of Government, about America's role in the world. Should it use "hard power" or "soft power" to get its way? Military force or moral suasion? "Shock and Awe" or "winning hearts and minds"?

The venue, Cole Assembly Room at Amherst College, was packed. Students, assorted Political Science faculty, VIPs and others crammed themselves into every available inch of space, filling the aisles and sitting cross-legged in front of the polished wooden debate table. The scene reminded me of the 9/11 commission hearings, journalists squatting en masse, trying to get the best shot of Condoleezza Rice or Madeline Albright as they testified. Two spotlights, one in each corner of the room, converged on the table. Two cameramen, filming the debate for C-SPAN 2, took their positions.

Nye started. 9/11, he said, had been like a flash of lightning, briefly illuminating the outlines of a new landscape, and then leaving us in darkness. Terrorism itself was nothing new, but it had become "more lethal and more agile." 9/11 ushered in a change in U.S. foreign policy. Suddenly we had new goals, and we needed the means to reach these goals. And it is the means that disturb Nye, not the ends. For him, it is a question of strategy.

In pursuing what Charles Krauthammer had called the "New Unilateralism," the Bush administration had become "one dimensional thinkers in a three-dimensional world." If we think of international relations as a three-dimensional chess game, he argued, the Bush administration, by pursuing military force as a means, was only playing on the top board. They completely ignored "soft power" as an option; they weren't concerned enough with winning hearts and minds.

Kristol took the stage. Where Nye had been soft-spoken and a bit pedantic, Kristol was loose. He cracked jokes. We laughed. After the banter, he opened his bag of tricks and started the show. He talked about the Cold War, "the 90s," and now. "The 90s ended on Sept. 11," he said. We are now in a new era, "a new moment." Before 9/11, foreign policy was barely on the radar at all. It made nothing more than a cameo appearance in the October presidential debates.

9/11 changed everything. It called for new thinking, new tactics. Bush has made mistakes. "It's hard when you're in a new moment," Kristol said. We live in a dangerous world with threats on all sides, and Bush "reacted appropriately" by launching wars in Afghanistan and Iraq. "Bush," he said, "does not get enough credit." Kristol went on to say that terrorism had decreased as a result of Bush's policies; that the Afghan elections are "impressive"; that what is now happening in the Middle East is "hopeful." Hard power is still necessary, especially when you're trying to "promote democracy and freedom."

I watched and listened, sitting in my black leather swivel chair, clutching my tape recorder and I felt sick.

Kristol finished his statement with a riff about Iraq. "We all thought he had weapons," he said with a smile. "He certainly had connections to terrorists." With someone like Saddam, Kristol explained, we couldn't afford to do nothing: "We had to make a choice." We had to get rid of him; we had to give him a taste of America's hard power. The risk was not that we would act too fast, but "that we'll be too slow." Kristol's parting thought fit the script nicely: "The world is better off because America is powerful."

When it was all over I asked Mr. Kristol a question. What did he think about the 12 years of sanctions that had killed over half a million Iraqi children? "It was a tough choice," he said. Then he left the room.

Wednesday, October 13, 2004

Give Us A Leader!

When Alexis De Tocqueville’s Democracy in America was first published in 1835, America was new; America was fresh. The Revolution, the Declaration of Independence, these were still alive in the collective memory of the nation. Seething with energy and promise, the country looked bright-eyed into its future, scanning the horizon for the progress, indeed the perfection, it knew was within its grasp.

Tocqueville, a Frenchman, toured the country with eyes that knew Monarchy, Aristocracy, even dictatorship, but American-style democracy? This was new.

Tocqueville was prescient, and parts of Democracy in America are nothing if not prophecy of what a “democratic social state” like America might expect in its future. Not all he had to say was rosy.

Toward the end of his massive, two-volume, commentary, Tocqueville takes up a particularly chilling theme: the “Kind of Despotism Democratic Nations Have to Fear.” (Volume Two, Part IV, Chapter 6) What follows is a discussion that anticipated Huxley’s Brave New World in outlining a type of tyranny that would rely not on overt totalitarianism, but one that would trap society in a mild, benevolent slavery – a form of slavery that people would come to embrace.

“The emperors [of Antiquity],” he wrote, “wielded vast power without any counterweight…Their tyranny….was violent and limited.” In the early 1800s, traveling across a young United States, Tocqueville saw the potential for a new type of tyranny, a kind of “oppression…unlike any the world has seen before.” What he saw in his mind’s eye was so different, in fact, that he could not even find the right words to express it: “The old words ‘despotism’ and ‘tyranny’ will not do.”

Listen, now, to Tocqueville-the-prophet:

“I see an innumerable host of men, all alike…hastening after petty and vulgar pleasures…Each of them, withdrawn into himself, is virtually a stranger to the fate of all the others… As for…his fellow citizens, he lives alongside them but does not see them. He touches them but does not feel them. He exists only in himself and for himself, and if he still has a family, he no longer has a country.

“Over these men stands an immense [governing] power, which assumes sole responsibility for securing their pleasure and watching over their fate… But…it seeks only to keep them in childhood…It likes citizens to rejoice, provided they think only of rejoicing…It provides for their security, foresees and takes care of their needs, facilitates their pleasures, manages their most important affairs, directs their industry…Why not relieve them of the trouble of thinking and the difficulty of living?”

Tocqueville saw people in conflict with themselves. “They feel the need to be led and the desire to remain free…” They participate just enough, “[emerging] from dependence for a moment to indicate their master and then return to it…” What does it matter who they think will lead them best? Tocqueville put it bluntly: “The nature of the master matters far less than the fact of obedience.”

Tocqueville feared “not that [citizens] will find tyrants among their leaders but rather that they will find protectors.” They will want to be protected.

Tocqueville saw us.

We want protection, safety, comfort. We will emerge from our cocoons in November to pick our master, then retreat. Someone – we hope - will take our problems and make them go away. Someone – not us – will take care of everything. Why not relieve them of the trouble of thinking and the difficulty of living?

And who will it be? Who will fight the ‘War on Terror’ – and keep us safe? Who will launch the next preemptive war – to keep us safe? Who will stop the evildoers? Who will save us from dirty bombs, shoe-bombs, truck bombs, suicide bombs, anthrax, nerve gas, box-cutters, hijackers, extremists, terrorists, dictators, freedom-haters, weapons of mass destruction? Who will lead us? Who will protect us? Who will it be? Oh, who will it be?

Just give us a leader and we’ll be fine. Give us a leader and yea, though we walk through the valley of the shadow of death, we shall fear no evil.

Give us a leader, big and strong, to chase our fears away
Give us a leader, quick, quick! Quick!! to come and save the day
Give us a leader - bless him God! - and make our troubles cease
Give us a leader to “stay the course” and even “win the peace”
Bring him soon: a Caesar, Savior, President-King
Bring him soon…so we can go
Back where we belong
Couch-bound and TV-glued to click away our days, Amen.


Tuesday, October 12, 2004

The Sinclair Syndicate

Sinclair is at it again.

[Sinclair] has ordered its 62 television stations...to air a documentary critical of Sen. John Kerry’s antiwar activities after his return from Vietnam more than three decades ago.

The 41-minute film "Stolen Honor: Wounds That Never Heal" is to be shown on stations owned by Sinclair Broadcast Group barely a week before the election.

Just in case you're not sure who were talking about here, they're the ones who "ordered some of [their] stations not to show a 'Nightline' segment in which host Ted Koppel read the names of U.S. military personnel killed in Iraq, calling it 'contrary to the public interest.' "

According to the company profile on its website, "Sinclair's television group includes 20 FOX, 19 WB, 6 UPN, 8 ABC, 3 CBS, 4 NBC affiliates and 2 independent stations and reaches approximately 24% of all U.S. television households."

The program in question is supposed to make the case that Kerry is no friend to soldiers and POWs. After all, he was criticizing the war they were fighting by daring to relay first-hand accounts of the atrocities some of 'our boys' were committing in Vietnam. Shame on him.

The only problem - for Kerry - is that he has since backed down from the brashness of his youth, saying that his harsh language about atrocities was a bit "over the top." Not only that, there seems to be some truth to the claim that he abandoned POWs in Vietnam. The Village Voice actually ran a piece about this a while back.

So what we have here is a blatant example of a partisan media conglomerate flexing its muscle to ensure that Bush wins in November. And who can defend that?

But who will defend Kerry if at least some of the charges against him are true?

Our Man in Afghanistan

This post will be short and to the point:

Democracy is an art, not a science, and the U.S. is very skilled in this department, especially when it comes to holding elections and making sure their candidate wins.

Manipulation, bribery, intimidation - no tactic is too low-brow for the U.S. in its quest for Democracy.

The U.S. Government wants Hamid Karzai in power in Afghanistan.

By hook or crook (most likely crook), Karzai will be in power in Afghanistan, just watch.

Protests, boycotts, even recounts, notwithstanding....Karzai is our man and our man will win.

Friday, October 08, 2004

The Art of Denial

Ok, so here's the headline in the New York Times: "Cheney: Weapons Report Justifies Iraq War."

The only problem is that the report in question says "Saddam Hussein's government produced no weapons of mass destruction after 1991."

Hmmm.

Think of it: you march into someone's house. You have 'intelligence' suggesting the head-honcho there has weapons of mass destruction. You think they've got some pretty nasty chef's knives. You're worried for your safety, you trash the place. You're thorough, you kill the women and children. Then you learn that there never were any weapons in the house, no knives there. But, you say, the man there was 'going to' get some knives, or at least he had the potential to get some knives.....er, well, he had the potential to intend to get some knives.

So what is Cheney saying when he says no WMD "justifies" the Iraq War?

WTF, mate!!